The overall number of cases (in log scale) denoting the pandemic spread (Red); the share of COVID-19 related articles out of the overall daily articles in the New York Times (U.S. and NYC-region sections) (Purple); the number of states imposing school closures (Yellow) and stay-at-home orders (Green); and the increase in time spent at home compared to 2/15/2020 (Blue).
larger decrease in workplace mobility (i.e. more people avoided going to work) is indicated by blue hues. Red hues indicate smaller decrease in workplace mobility than the baseline average. The six maps indicate the geographic disparity of mobility change over March and early April. Mobility is normalized so that each county is colored according to difference from average mobility index of that day over all counties.
Word cloud of grammatical subjects of titles of Covid-19 related articles in the New York Times, the New Zealand Herald and the Globe & Mail (Toronto) in the first 3 months of the pandemic. Blue subjects are related to policy, red words are related to politics, and purple ones mark geopolitical entities.
Coefficients of key indicators as they relate to the various types of mobility over the 5 periods of the COVID-19 pandemic. The effect of ideology on mobility nearly vanishes as the pandemic persists. For instance, the effect of ideology on Residential mobility (i.e., time stayed at home) in 2nd Decline is indistinguishable from zero and is more than 90% smaller in effect size than in 1st Decline.
The 3D plain indicates R values (on the vertical axis). Green sections indicate lower R values. Red sections are those where COVID-19 growth is exponential. The first horizontal axis indicates the partisanship differential in the 2016 US presidential elections, ranging from -1 (the county voted overwhelmingly for Hillary Clinton) to +1 (overwhelming vote for Trump). The second horizontal axis indicates % under 24. The different panels present bottom quarter income levels (top left) to top quarter income (bottom right).
On the left is a map representing the voting differentials by county between the presidential elections in 2020 and in 2016. Trending red are those counties where Trump gained votes and blue are the ones where he lost votes compared to 2016. White counties are those with no meaningful change in voting patterns. The map on the right indicates the R coefficient in each county on Election Day. In green counties, the pandemic is largely under control. It is rampant, however, in those counties painted in red.